SellingUpdated 8 min read

Analysis paralysis: how to decide and get back to selling

Analysis paralysis is thinking about a decision for so long that you never make it. When you sell, it looks like a call list sorted three times and a follow-up rewritten five. The way out is to sort the decision by how hard it is to undo, cut the options to three, set a clock and take the first small step.

What analysis paralysis is

Analysis paralysis is overthinking a decision until the thinking replaces the doing. You research and reword, and none of it moves you closer to a choice. It feels like work, which is why it's hard to catch.

People also call it decision paralysis, choice paralysis or paralysis by analysis. It's the same trap under four names.

The fix is shorter than the problem. Sort the decision by how hard it is to undo. Cut the options to three, set a clock, pick, and do the first small step before the doubt comes back.

What it costs is rarely the thinking itself. It's everything that doesn't happen while you think, like the quote you didn't chase while the prospect signed with someone faster.

What it looks like in a seller's week

Selling is a day of small decisions made with half the facts, so there are plenty of places to stall. Here's where it usually shows up.

The call list. You have 40 names and can't decide who goes first. You sort by deal size, then by last contact, then check three LinkedIn profiles. Half an hour later, nobody's been called.

The follow-up message. Is it too pushy? Too soft? You write three versions on WhatsApp and send none. A few days later the prospect has gone quiet, and now the message is harder to write.

The quote chase. You sent a price six days ago. Chasing feels needy and waiting feels lazy, so you wait, and another week goes.

The discount. A client asks you to take something off the price. You open a spreadsheet to model it and still haven't answered days later.

The dead lead. A prospect hasn't replied in two months. You can't bring yourself to drop them, so they sit on the list and make every review longer.

Each of these has a good-enough answer that takes minutes. Most of them can be undone too: if a message lands wrong, you send another one.

Why you stall

A few causes sit under most stuck decisions.

Too many options. In a 2000 study, Sheena Iyengar of Columbia and Mark Lepper of Stanford set up a tasting booth in a Menlo Park grocery store with either 6 or 24 jams on show. The bigger display drew more shoppers to stop, but nearly 30% of those who stopped at the 6-jam table bought a jar, against 3% at the 24-jam table. Chocolates and essay topics showed the same pattern in their paper. Forty leads is a 24-jam table. So is a proposal with five packages in it.

Treating every decision as permanent. The wording of one message gets the same dread as a decision to leave your job, so small choices eat big chunks of the day.

Waiting for information that isn't coming. In his 2016 letter to shareholders, Jeff Bezos wrote that "most decisions should probably be made with somewhere around 70% of the information you wish you had." Wait for 90%, he added, and you're probably being slow. A prospect's budget, their boss's mood and next quarter's demand are things you'll never know for sure before you pick up the phone.

Hunting for the best instead of good enough. Herbert Simon called the other approach satisficing: set a bar, then take the first option that clears it. Barry Schwartz and colleagues tested it in a 2002 paper and found that maximizers, the people who search for the best option, were less satisfied with what they bought than satisficers and more prone to regret. A follow-up that's good enough and sent today beats the perfect one sent next week.

Fear of looking wrong. You picture the prospect, your manager or a colleague reading the message and thinking less of you, so you keep polishing it.

No deadline. A decision with no date on it fills every hour you give it.

Freezing now and then is normal. If you freeze on choices everywhere, at home and at work, for months, talk to a doctor. A sales routine won't fix that.

Are you stuck? Seven yes-or-no questions

Answer yes or no for the last two weeks:

  • You reread a message more than three times before sending it.
  • You research a prospect for longer than the call will last.
  • You open your call list, then do something else that feels useful.
  • You ask two or three people the same question so one of them decides for you.
  • You add options instead of removing them.
  • You feel relief when something outside your control delays the decision.
  • You know what you should do and still haven't done it.

Three or more yeses and stalling is costing you meetings. One or two is a normal week.

Sort the decision by how hard it is to undo

Before you think about the answer, decide how much thinking the question deserves. In the same 2016 letter, Bezos wrote that "many decisions are reversible, two-way doors" and can use a light process. If you walk through a two-way door and don't like the room, you walk back out.

Most of a seller's decisions are two-way doors. A one-way door, one you can't easily walk back through, deserves more time, but it still needs a date.

DecisionUndo it?ClockHow to decide
Wording of a follow-upYes, same day5 minutesWrite two, send the shorter
Who to call firstYes, within the hour10 minutesPromises first, then open quotes
Chase or wait on a quoteYes5 minutesThree working days passed? Chase once
Drop a dead leadYes, you can call again5 minutesTwo months silent? Send a closing note
A client's discount requestHard once saidOne daySet a floor before the call
Changing your pitchYes, call to callOne week of callsChange one line, test it on ten calls
Changing your pricesHardA week, with a dateTwo criteria, one person you trust

The easier a choice is to undo, the less time it gets.

A 15-minute routine for a stuck decision

Run this the moment you notice you've been circling, and most selling decisions are done inside a quarter of an hour.

  1. Write the decision as one question. "Which five leads do I call before lunch?" is a decision, and "sort out my pipeline" isn't.
  2. Decide whether it's a two-way or a one-way door.
  3. Cut to three options by dropping anything you wouldn't really pick.
  4. Pick two criteria, no more. For a call list that's a promised call-back first, then a quote that's waiting.
  5. Set a clock of five to fifteen minutes for a two-way door. In ActivityTracker, start a 15-minute focus timer and choose before it hits zero.
  6. Choose when the clock ends. If two options tie, take either, because a tie means both are fine.
  7. Do the first small step straight away: dial one number, or write the first line of the quote.
  8. Write down what happened in one line, and look back at it on Friday.

Step 8 matters more than it looks. Stalling wears down your trust in your own calls, and a list of decisions that turned out fine builds it back. The weekly reflection template has a place for it.

For a one-way door, steps 1 to 4 still apply, but the clock becomes a decide-by date. Put that date on your task list, not in your head. In ActivityTracker, add it as a task with a reminder, and the reminder comes before the date.

Put the decision on a clock. ActivityTracker's focus timer runs for 15, 25, 50 or 90 minutes and counts down while you choose, so the choosing has an end.

See the focus timer

Decide the repeat decisions once

The best way out of analysis paralysis is to have fewer decisions to make in the moment. Most of a seller's choices repeat every day, so make them once.

  • Tomorrow's first five calls, written the night before. In the morning there's nothing to sort, so you dial. This is the same trick that beats call reluctance.
  • A follow-up rule: chase a quote after three working days, then a week later, then close it out. The sales follow-up process has timings and lines for each step.
  • Two saved messages for the moments you rewrite most, like the first follow-up after a call and the "are you still interested?" note.
  • A discount floor, set before any call, so a client's request gets a yes or no on the spot.

None of these needs to be perfect. They need to exist, so the decision is already made when the moment comes.

Wei Ling's call list

Made-up example: it's 9:00 on Tuesday, and Wei Ling, who sells office fit-outs to small firms, has 40 leads on her sheet and a call block until noon. Last week she spent the first hour of each day sorting.

This time she writes down one question, "Which five do I call first?", and gives it ten minutes, because she can redo the order by 10:00. She cuts 40 names to the 9 who asked for a call-back or have a quote waiting, then uses two criteria: a promised time first, then the oldest quote.

At minute eight she has five names. She dials the first one at 9:09.

At 11:30 a client asks for a discount. She'd set a floor of 5% on Monday, so she says yes to 5% on the call and no to more. That decision took ten seconds because she made it the day before.

On Friday she reads her one-line notes. Two of the five picked up, one booked a site visit, and the discount client signed.

Decision making on a team

If you manage a small team, analysis paralysis turns up in the pipeline review. The same deal gets talked about for three weeks while nothing changes.

Before the meeting ends, every stuck decision gets an owner and a decide-by date, plus the first step. "Ravi decides by Thursday whether to drop the Tan account, and calls them first" is a decision. "Let's keep an eye on it" isn't.

When the team can't agree, Bezos's 2016 letter suggests a phrase: "disagree and commit." You say you see it differently, then back the call fully. It's faster than trying to convince everyone, and you learn more from a decision made than from one still being debated.

Use the 1:1 too. When a rep says "I'm not sure whether to...", ask which option they'd pick if they had to choose in one minute. Most of the time they already know. The one-on-one meeting template has room to note the decision and check it next week.

What doesn't help

  • More research after the first ten minutes. It rarely changes the call.
  • Asking five people. You'll get five answers and a new decision about whose to follow.
  • Waiting to feel sure. On a two-way door, the feeling usually comes after you act.
  • A pros and cons list with 20 rows. Cut it to the two rows that matter.
  • Judging a decision only by how it turned out. A good call made on what you knew still loses sometimes.

Keep reading

Questions people ask

Sources

Decide, then dial.

Most choices can be undone by lunch.